It’s that time of the year when pundits and prognosticators begin to opine about what will happen in 2012. Frankly, I don’t like this game. In mid-2001, I worked for a technology “futurist” firm and wrote a piece predicting that CD-R/W music players would continue to dominate in the year ahead. That was a couple months before the ipod came on the market and made me look like a fool. Not that I mind looking like a fool, but I think I’ve shied away from these declarations ever since.
However, I was inspired this week by Rob Day (@cleantechvc) to throw my hat back into the ring. Why? Because Rob actually went back and wrote a post critiquing the predictions he made from the previous year. I found this remarkable precisely because most analysts write these odes with zero accountability. As an investor, Rob actually has to bet on his predictions, so I enjoyed his self-critique. I promise to do the same – someone hold me to it!
So without further adieu, here are my top 5, slightly irreverent, predictions for cleantech internationally in the year ahead. Why international? Because I’ve spent most of the last 6 …
